Latest polls showed incumbent U.S. Senator Mark Begich (D-AK) on a surprisingly advantageous stance against rivals, potentially due to more aggressive campaigns by the Democratic Party a few days before the 2014 midterms.

Based on the results released by Hellenthal and Associates, a Republican-inclined survey firm, Begich earned a 10-point margin against Republican bet Dan Sullivan.  What makes the survey even more striking is that 33 percent of the respondents said they are for the Republican Party while 18 percents said they are Democrats.

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In a similar poll conducted by Ivan Moore Research, Begich outnumbered his Republican counterpart by seven points and eight points for fairly likely voters and most likely voters respectively.

Despite favorable statistics shown by two different polls, Harstad Research argued that it is less likely that Begich will have an outstanding come November 4.  The research firm showed a 44-44 draw between the two Senate hopefuls, hours before Hellenthal released its numbers.

Another contradicting prediction by New York Times/CBS News/YouGov poll revealed a three-point lead for Sullivan.  Unfortunately, no matter how promising the polls in region, experts said Alaska is less likely to make it to the Congress for this term with only 561 registered voters and the most inaccurate poll counts in history, The New York Times wrote.

Forty-three percent of the respondents from of the New York Times/CBS News/YouGov survey said they have been contacted by the Begich campaign at least once in the past.

A survey by Rasmussen, Fox News and CNN polled three weeks ago, suggests Begich's competitive advantage among nonwhite Alaskans (20 to 25 points).  Democrative-inclined nonwhite Alaskan Natives comprise 13 percent of the voter's population.  Most of them have no permanent addresses or telephone numbers; thus, decreasing Begich's chances to win the post.

In a commissioned New York Times' report, Derek Willis found out that Democrats spend greater than the Republicans in political campaigns by 8:1 ratio.  Sasha Issenberg noted 130 staff workers working in Democrat-controlled areas in Alaska for every 3,000 voters.

TagsSocial Issues, politics, Alaska Democratic Party, YouGov, Mark Begich, Alaska